Astera Labs Stock Performance

ALAB Stock   124.67  3.48  2.72%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.74, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Astera Labs will likely underperform. At this point, Astera Labs has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Astera Labs' sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Astera Labs performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Astera Labs has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.72)
Five Day Return
(4.33)
Year To Date Return
(30.57)
Ten Year Return
100.98
All Time Return
100.98
1
Disposition of 1100 shares by Philip Mazzara of Astera Labs at 174.9773 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
2
MRVL Expands AI Connectivity Through Acquisitions Whats Next
01/08/2026
3
Astera Labs Valuation Check After RBC Coverage And Retimer Growth Outlook
01/21/2026
4
Astera Labs Product Roadmap Excites Investors
02/04/2026
5
Astera Labs Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record Revenue Growth Amid Strategic ...
02/11/2026
6
Astera Labs Price Target Cut to 250.00 by Analysts at Citigroup
02/12/2026
7
Disposition of 963 shares by Alba Manuel of Astera Labs at 159.2928 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
8
Disposition of 3556 shares by Tate Michael Truett of Astera Labs at 123.9286 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/17/2026
9
ALAB Rides on Strong Connectivity Demand Whats Ahead for the Stock
02/18/2026
10
Astera Labs vs. KLA Which Semiconductor Stock Has More Upside
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow80 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-241.5 M

Astera Labs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,519  in Astera Labs on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,052) from holding Astera Labs or give up 24.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. Astera Labs is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.4936% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 58% of stocks are less volatile than Astera, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Astera Labs is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Astera Labs Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Astera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 124.67 90 days 124.67 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astera Labs to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Astera Labs probability density function shows the probability of Astera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.74 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Astera Labs will likely underperform. Additionally Astera Labs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Astera Labs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Astera Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astera Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118.20124.67131.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.28117.75137.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
118.53125.00131.47
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
186.07204.47226.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astera Labs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astera Labs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astera Labs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Astera Labs.

Astera Labs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astera Labs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astera Labs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astera Labs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astera Labs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.74
σ
Overall volatility
17.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Astera Labs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astera Labs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astera Labs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astera Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Astera Labs has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Astera Labs vs. KLA Which Semiconductor Stock Has More Upside

Astera Labs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astera Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astera Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding179.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Astera Labs Fundamentals Growth

Astera Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Astera Labs, and Astera Labs fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Astera Stock performance.

About Astera Labs Performance

By analyzing Astera Labs' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Astera Labs' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Astera Labs has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Astera Labs has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 103.86  98.67 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.17 

Things to note about Astera Labs performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Astera Labs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Astera Labs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Astera Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Astera Labs has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Astera Labs vs. KLA Which Semiconductor Stock Has More Upside
Evaluating Astera Labs' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Astera Labs' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Astera Labs' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Astera Labs' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Astera Labs' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Astera Labs' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Astera Labs' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Astera Labs' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Astera Labs' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Astera Labs' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Astera Labs' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Astera Stock analysis

When running Astera Labs' price analysis, check to measure Astera Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astera Labs is operating at the current time. Most of Astera Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astera Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astera Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astera Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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